The hazard engine

Sismicus.
Hazard models built on the structures we engineered.

Not calibrated on generic catalogs — calibrated on two decades of critical-infrastructure design. Regional catastrophe hazard models, audit-grade, convergent across three independent compute paths.

108
effective logic-tree branches
3
convergent compute paths · Δ < 1%
168
fault traces · live PHL model
100+
critical-infrastructure projects
The moat

The data no public catalog can give you.

“Most probabilistic seismic models are calibrated on generic or historical data. Ours is built on a unique, proprietary dataset generated through the design of critical infrastructure — from Panama Canal bridges to metro systems and the high-speed rail between Dubai and Abu Dhabi. This gives us a hazard engine that is not only statistically sound, but informed by real-world engineering at the highest level.”

— Carlos Caramés Molero, Founder & Partner, Dynamis
Fourth Bridge over the Panama CanalDubai–Abu Dhabi high-speed railSan Salvador light rail100+ projects · 20+ countries
Inside the engine

Three convergent paths. One catalog you can defend.

Cross-validation is built into the engine: three independent computations of the same hazard, agreeing to within one percent. If they diverge, we know before you do.

01

Classical

Engineering base

The rigorous engineering reference. Every other path is validated against it — convergence is built in, not bolted on.

02

SES

Stochastic

A synthetic catalog spanning tens of thousands of years of seismicity, sampled to capture the full distribution of what can happen.

03CAT model

YET

Year × event · the CAT model

The deliverable: per-year event sets ready to convolve with exposure and fragility into loss. The number your book runs on.

108-branch logic tree

We sweep the uncertainty most models flatten.

Where off-the-shelf models pick a single value and move on, Sismicus carries the full branch structure — weighted, traceable, and reproducible — so the answer comes with its confidence, not just a point estimate.

Source geometryGround-motion modelsSlip-rateRecurrence
root108 effective branches
Live regional models

Calibrated, locked — and field-characterized.

Every model sits on the real tectonic structure of the planet — the seismic belts where the risk concentrates, and the regions we've engineered across.

Major seismic belts · notable earthquakes13,696 faults · 14,456 quakes
active faultsmajor earthquakes (M ≥ 6, radius ∝ magnitude)

Philippines

rev 7.1 · locked

A 108-branch logic tree that sweeps the uncertainty most models flatten — from slip-rate to ground-motion — across every credible source within 300 km.

168 fault traces24 characteristic faults5 subduction zonesvalidated against independent benchmarks

Panamá · Pedro Miguel–Limón

field-characterized

Engineered for the Fourth Bridge over the Panama Canal: we ran the fault to ground truth and folded brand-new traces into the model — geometry that exists in no prior catalog.

Aerial trace reconnaissancePaleoseismic trenchingNew fault traces in variability

Audit-grade by construction

Every number ships with its provenance chain — source, weight, and model version.

Validated, not asserted

Benchmarked internally against independent reference engines on every release.

Engineering-informed

The same rigor Dynamis brings to bridges and rail, encoded into the hazard layer.

Explore the live model.

Pick a site, see the hazard — the engine that feeds Fragility and Risco.